The White Paper on the Indian Economy - February 2024 sheds light on the fiscal policies of the UPA government, revealing a significant neglect of infrastructure and asset creation during its tenure from 2004 to 2014. The report highlights how misplaced priorities and unproductive expenditure choices have hampered long-term economic growth prospects.
One of the key observations outlined in the report is the substantial reduction in capital expenditure, which funds public investment in crucial infrastructure projects. Over the span of 10 years, capital expenditure as a percentage of total expenditure plummeted from 31 percent in FY04 to a mere 16 percent in FY14. This downward trend underscores a stark deprioritization of infrastructure development, creating long-term constraints for the economy.
The consequence of this neglect is evident in the economy's persistent supply constraints during the UPA government's tenure. As capital expenditure dwindled, the economy struggled to keep pace with the demands of a growing population and expanding industries. This imbalance between supply and demand dynamics contributed to higher inflation, an inflated current account deficit, and an overvalued currency.
Furthermore, the report highlights how the government's focus on short-term populist measures diverted public expenditure away from critical infrastructure projects. Instead of investing in long-term growth drivers, resources were channeled towards initiatives that yielded immediate political gains but lacked sustainability and lasting economic impact.
The repercussions of these imprudent policies reached a climax in 2013 when the Indian rupee faced severe depreciation, signaling the culmination of years of fiscal mismanagement and neglect of infrastructure development.
Chart 6 presented in the report vividly illustrates the decline in capital expenditure as a percentage of total expenditure over the years, reflecting what the authors term as "A Capital Indifference" in government spending priorities.
The findings of the White Paper underscore the urgent need for a strategic realignment of fiscal priorities towards infrastructure and asset creation. Addressing the neglect of long-term investment projects is crucial for unlocking the economy's growth potential and ensuring sustainable development in the years ahead.
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